 |
THE KYOTO PROTOCOL: A PROFITABLE OPPORTUNITY FOR THE
INDUSTRY ?
Pinch analysis process integration may be a key
expertise |
The greenhouse gases (GHG) reduction target preconized by the Kyoto
protocol - a 6% reduction below the 1990 emissions by 2012- appears as a
tremendous challenge that raises many questions about its potential
impact on the economy. Considering the economic activity growth since
1990, the Kyoto objective would now represent GHG emission reductions of
about 30% in Canada. If inappropriate actions were enforced to oblige
companies to meet this level, many people believe this
would seriously impair the profitability of many companies and lead to
detrimental
consequences on national economy and wealth.
click
here for more info on the Kyoto protocol
This is a complex issue that concerns not only the
industrial sector (industry is the largest producer and transportation
comes in second place). But, among the possible solutions available to
the industry, energy efficiency comes in first place.
In energy efficiency, the last 15 years have seen the emergence and
extensive application of a process integration approach named Pinch
Analysis. Its application in all industrial sectors (many thousand
applications) has demonstrated its capacity to maximize energy savings
at minimum capital expenditure. Pinch Analysis rests on rigorous
thermodynamic principles that determine the minimum energy requirement
of a process (heating and cooling utilities). Furthermore, the Pinch
Analysis design rules allow the engineer to find the minimum capital
cost solutions that meets this minimum energy target. Process integration with Pinch Analysis is the perfect tool to maximize GHG
emission reduction by energy efficiency the most profitable way possible
(more details on Pinch Analysis).
In 1999, Pragmathic conducted for a NGO a study on the economic GHG reduction potential with Pinch
Analysis in the Pulp and Paper sector in Quebec (Canada). This work was based on the
detailed results of many process integration studies completed in the
past 10 years by Pragmathic's personnel for
several types of mill (Kraft, TMP, SGW, VHYS, ...). Energy saving
measures in these studies included energy recovery with heat exchangers,
fresh water usage reduction, and process modifications. To evaluate
sustainable reduction potentials, capitalized investment costs were used
for the economic calculations. The results obtained are
presented in the table below in terms of profitability vs GHG reduction. The profitability is expressed in % internal rate of
return before income taxes (The IRR is equivalent to the interest rate
obtained for your invesment). The net value after income taxes, taking into
consideration the accelerated depreciation class 34 available in Canada for energy
efficiency projects, is also given in the second column.
These figures are overall values for all mills, some
locations
showing very small potentials and others showing much larger ones.

APPLICATION OF PROCESS
INTEGRATION:
RESULTS FOR THE PULP AND PAPER INDUSTRY IN
QUEBEC (1999) |
|
Internal rate of
return of energy saving projects, % |
IRR net
after taxes |
% GHG reduction |
|
100 |
73 |
2.5 |
|
80 |
60 |
4.7 |
|
66 |
51 |
7.5 |
|
60 |
36 |
10.7 |
|
50 |
39 |
14.0 |
|
45 |
36 |
17.3 |
|
40 |
32 |
20.4 |
|
35 |
29 |
23.3 |
|
30 |
25 |
25.8 |
|
25 |
21 |
31.6 |
These results clearly show that, on average, very
significant reductions could be achieved with process integration with a 25% IRR. Since
this value is an average, it means that some mills could do much more
(like the QRP awarded
project with 35% savings for an IRR above 100% !!) while others
could show minimal potentials. We could then imagine that a carbon
credit exchange mecanism between mills could greatly help them reaching
the Kyoto target of 30% reduction within a good economic framework. Thus, Pinch Analysis
can help Pulp and Paper industry decreasing its GHG
emission by a big step in a profitable context. Based on our
experience and on the information available in the literature, we
estimate that closely similar results would be obtained for the chemical
and petrochemical industry in plants where, of course, no process
integration has never been applied before. For Food and Beverages, we estimate
that the IRR
would be smaller by a factor of about 1/3 (multiply tabulated IRR values
by 2/3). Thus, it appears that process integration offers great
possibilities. Process integration with Pinch Analysis is vigorously
promoted by Natural
Ressources Canada (NRCan) for this reason. To conclude,
among the different solutions that will be available to help industrial
processes meeting the Kyoto protocol objective of 30% reduction, process
integration with Pinch Analysis is very likely to become a key expertise
that could contribute to achieve the major part of the total reduction target in a
profitable framework. |
|